Bután vs Bangladesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bután
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 3
AFG
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
MDV
3 - 1
BTN
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 3
QAT
6%
15%
79%
|
24 | 80 | 56 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
CHN
12 - 0
BTN
89%
9%
2%
|
24 | 82 | 58 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 1
HKG
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BGD
1 - 3
MDV
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
4 - 0
BGD
59%
22%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
BGD
0 - 4
AUS
8%
19%
73%
|
39 | 86 | 47 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TJK
5 - 0
BGD
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
KGZ
2 - 0
BGD
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |