Burkina Faso vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
BFA
0 - 1
TZA
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
BFA
0 - 1
MLI
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MOZ
3 - 0
BFA
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2007 |
ZWE
1 - 1
BFA
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BFA
1 - 1
MOZ
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MLI
6 - 0
SLE
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
BFA
0 - 1
MLI
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
BEN
0 - 0
MLI
19%
24%
56%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MLI
1 - 1
BEN
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
LTU
1 - 3
MLI
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |