Brazil vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
SEN
85%
11%
3%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
PER
79%
14%
6%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 2
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
LBN
0 - 0
KOR
14%
24%
62%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
PRK
0 - 0
KOR
13%
23%
64%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
KOR
8 - 0
LKA
82%
15%
4%
|
88 | 29 | 59 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
TKM
0 - 2
KOR
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
KOR
2 - 2
GEO
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |