Brazil vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
DEU
3 - 2
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
99 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
PRY
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 2
ECU
88%
9%
3%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
PRY
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
VEN
90%
8%
2%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
GHA
2 - 0
SWZ
78%
16%
6%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
KOR
2 - 1
GHA
61%
24%
16%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
GHA
3 - 1
COG
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
ENG
1 - 1
GHA
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 98 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
COG
0 - 3
GHA
20%
27%
53%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |