Brazil vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
3.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
BRA
0 - 1
CMR
95%
4%
1%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
NGA
0 - 3
BRA
15%
21%
65%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
MEX
0 - 0
BRA
23%
23%
54%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
PRT
2 - 1
BRA
29%
25%
46%
|
99 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
CHN
0 - 0
BRA
15%
19%
65%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
TUR
2 - 1
USA
34%
25%
41%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
USA
2 - 1
NZL
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2003 |
USA
2 - 0
WLS
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
USA
0 - 0
MEX
49%
26%
26%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
USA
2 - 0
VEN
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |