Brazil vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
BRA
3 - 2
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1935 |
CRI
6 - 0
BRA
50%
21%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1935 |
MEX
8 - 2
BRA
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
BRA
0 - 0
GTM
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1935 |
SLV
3 - 4
BRA
37%
23%
41%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1936 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1935 |
PER
1 - 0
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1935 |
URY
2 - 1
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1934 |
CHL
4 - 3
JPN
53%
21%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |