Brazil vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
BRA
0 - 0
ESP
72%
17%
11%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
SWE
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
BRA
2 - 0
CSK
73%
18%
8%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1978 |
BRA
3 - 0
PER
82%
14%
4%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
AUT
1 - 0
SWE
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
AUT
2 - 1
ESP
52%
25%
24%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
AUT
0 - 1
NED
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
SUI
0 - 1
AUT
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 0
AUT
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |