Brazil vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.2%
5-0
10.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
12.3%
4-0
14.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.6%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.8%
1.1%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
1 - 1
BRA
14%
25%
62%
|
96 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1994 |
BRA
3 - 0
ISL
84%
12%
4%
|
96 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1994 |
BRA
2 - 0
ARG
63%
22%
16%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1993 |
MEX
0 - 1
BRA
31%
28%
41%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
DEU
2 - 1
BRA
24%
24%
53%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1994 |
HND
2 - 1
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1994 |
HND
1 - 3
SLV
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 1993 |
USA
1 - 0
HND
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1993 |
JAM
3 - 1
HND
31%
30%
39%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1993 |
HND
5 - 1
PAN
62%
24%
14%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |