Bolivia vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
VEN
5 - 0
BOL
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
BOL
2 - 2
ECU
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
5 - 0
BOL
88%
10%
3%
|
80 | 96 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
BOL
83%
12%
5%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
BOL
0 - 3
PER
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 4
PER
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ARG
0 - 1
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
COL
30%
28%
42%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
URU
4 - 0
PAR
70%
19%
12%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
25%
26%
50%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |