Austria vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
AUT
2 - 0
WAL
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
AUT
0 - 1
HUN
41%
21%
39%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
POR
0 - 0
AUT
40%
22%
38%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
AUT
2 - 3
HUN
43%
21%
36%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
AUT
9 - 1
POR
81%
12%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1954 |
NOR
1 - 1
SCO
46%
22%
33%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1954 |
SCO
1 - 0
NOR
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
BRD
5 - 1
NOR
71%
16%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
PDS
0 - 0
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
83%
10%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |