Austria vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
53%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
AUT
3 - 2
CIV
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
CHE
3 - 1
AUT
58%
23%
20%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
AUT
0 - 2
CHL
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
AUT
0 - 0
JPN
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
AUT
1 - 1
CZE
29%
27%
45%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
RUS
2 - 1
ENG
26%
28%
47%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ENG
3 - 0
EST
84%
12%
4%
|
97 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ENG
3 - 0
RUS
71%
19%
10%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ENG
3 - 0
ISR
76%
17%
8%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ENG
1 - 2
DEU
50%
25%
26%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |