Australia vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2000 |
AUS
6 - 0
SOL
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2000 |
AUS
17 - 0
COK
85%
12%
3%
|
88 | 40 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2000 |
AUS
2 - 1
PAR
37%
29%
33%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2000 |
AUS
0 - 0
PAR
38%
29%
34%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2000 |
AUS
0 - 0
PAR
37%
29%
34%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2000 |
VAN
3 - 2
TAH
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2000 |
NZL
3 - 1
VAN
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 73 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2000 |
GLP
1 - 0
VAN
65%
18%
17%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2000 |
GLP
3 - 1
VAN
62%
19%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
PNG
1 - 5
VAN
58%
21%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |