Aruba vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
ABW
2 - 3
ATG
14%
16%
70%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
GUY
4 - 2
ABW
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
ABW
0 - 6
JAM
3%
8%
90%
|
40 | 79 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
JAM
2 - 0
ABW
86%
11%
3%
|
40 | 79 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
ATG
2 - 1
ABW
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SUR
3 - 0
CYM
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 2
SUR
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
SUR
4 - 0
DMA
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
SUR
0 - 1
VCT
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
VCT
2 - 2
SUR
24%
23%
53%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |