Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1921 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1921 |
ARG
3 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1921 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1921 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
24%
46%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1921 |
CHI
1 - 4
ARG
32%
24%
45%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1921 |
URU
4 - 2
PAR
73%
16%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1921 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1921 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
65%
19%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1921 |
PAR
2 - 1
URU
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1921 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |