African WC Qual. 3rd Round Final
Global 3-3
Algeria vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BFA
3 - 2
ALG
41%
28%
30%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
MLI
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 2
GUI
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
RWA
0 - 1
ALG
23%
28%
49%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 3
ALG
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BFA
3 - 2
ALG
41%
28%
30%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
NGA
4 - 1
BFA
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BFA
1 - 0
GAB
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
BFA
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
BFA
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |