Germany vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 3
GER
7%
17%
76%
|
97 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
AUT
1 - 2
GER
16%
22%
63%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GER
2 - 1
URU
70%
18%
12%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
GER
1 - 2
AUS
80%
14%
6%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GER
4 - 0
KAZ
88%
10%
3%
|
97 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 2
ECU
88%
9%
3%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
VEN
90%
8%
2%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
ROU
76%
16%
8%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |