Selbitz vs Amberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
GRO
5 - 0
SEL
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SEL
3 - 1
NEU
39%
24%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 2
TRO
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
KLE
2 - 1
SEL
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
AUB
0 - 1
SEL
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
AMB
6 - 0
NEU
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
KLE
0 - 1
AMB
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
AMB
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AMB
0 - 1
JFO
45%
23%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ERB
0 - 2
AMB
28%
23%
50%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |