Selbitz vs 1. FC Sand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ERB
5 - 3
SEL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 2
WUR
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AMB
6 - 1
SEL
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 2
SEL
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 4
AUB
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
1. FC Sand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
HOL
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
AHA
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AMM
1 - 2
SAN
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 2
NEU
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |