SJK vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
5º
5º
20
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
89% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SJK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
SEI
2 - 1
INT
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 3
SEI
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
KER
1 - 5
SEI
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SEI
0 - 0
FCL
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HON
0 - 0
SEI
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 2
OUL
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 0
KOO
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TPS
0 - 2
ILV
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KUO
1 - 0
ILV
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ILV
2 - 1
INT
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |