CS Sedan vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Sedan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
SED
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PON
1 - 2
SED
10%
19%
72%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SED
0 - 0
NAN
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
NIO
1 - 3
SED
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STR
0 - 1
SED
41%
25%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 2
TRO
63%
23%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MPL
2 - 0
LOR
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 5
LOR
6%
14%
80%
|
83 | 34 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 2
REI
61%
24%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 2
LOR
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |