Sedan II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sedan II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
IRI
2 - 3
SED
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SED
0 - 0
RAC
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 2
SED
8%
18%
74%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 2
SED
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 1
SED
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 1
FLE
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CRE
0 - 1
ARR
34%
26%
39%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ARR
5 - 0
SEZ
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 2
SED
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARR
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |