Sedan II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sedan II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
CRE
3 - 3
SED
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SED
2 - 3
ROY
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 3
SED
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SED
1 - 2
SCM
79%
15%
7%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
AUB
1 - 2
SED
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 0
SAI
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
FEI
0 - 0
ARR
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 1
AVI
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 0
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BEA
0 - 0
ARR
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |