Security Systems vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
9º
5º
39
7º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Security Systems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
POL
0 - 2
SES
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SES
1 - 2
ORA
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
HGH
3 - 3
SES
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SES
2 - 1
EAN
46%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SES
1 - 0
NIC
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
SUA
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
PRI
1 - 2
BOT
35%
23%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOW
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GAL
2 - 0
BOT
53%
25%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAS
37%
27%
37%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |