FK Sabail vs FC Kapaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
7º
35
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
QAR
4 - 2
SEB
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SEB
1 - 1
TUR
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 0
SEB
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SEB
0 - 1
SUM
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FKQ
2 - 3
SEB
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 2
FCK
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 6
QAR
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 1
FCK
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 3
FKN
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SUM
1 - 3
FCK
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |