SD Castelo vs Gondomar Base analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
39%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SDC
3 - 1
RIB
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 2
SDC
32%
21%
47%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SDC
1 - 4
JUV
35%
21%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 1
SDC
69%
16%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SDC
2 - 3
OIE
49%
20%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gondomar Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 1
GON
31%
21%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
GON
2 - 1
GUI
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
GON
4 - 0
TEB
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 1
GON
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GON
0 - 1
MOS
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |