SD Sparta vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 2
INT
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 1
ALT
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 1
SDS
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SDS
3 - 0
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
TOC
2 - 0
SDS
32%
22%
46%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TOC
1 - 1
CEC
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TOC
1 - 0
TOC
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TOC
0 - 1
SDS
34%
22%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SDS
3 - 1
TOC
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
TOC
2 - 1
TOC
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |