Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 3-2
SD Logroñés vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SDL
1 - 1
CAL
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
NAX
1 - 2
SDL
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 1
SDL
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SDL
3 - 1
CLH
82%
12%
7%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TED
0 - 2
SDL
11%
17%
72%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ANG
4 - 2
NAX
62%
21%
18%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
NAX
1 - 2
SDL
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NAX
0 - 3
ARN
57%
23%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CIU
0 - 3
NAX
17%
22%
62%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NAX
1 - 0
AGO
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |