SD Ceuta vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
19%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ELC
6 - 1
SDC
43%
22%
35%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
REC
4 - 1
SDC
59%
19%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
SDC
5 - 2
BAL
72%
16%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
CDB
1 - 3
SDC
64%
18%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
SDC
2 - 0
REC
51%
21%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ELC
0 - 1
CON
56%
20%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
CON
2 - 1
ECG
60%
19%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
VIC
0 - 1
CON
25%
22%
53%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
UES
1 - 2
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
ECG
1 - 2
CON
64%
18%
18%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |