SD Ceuta vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1942 |
SEV
4 - 1
SDC
88%
8%
4%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
SDC
3 - 2
SEV
25%
21%
54%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
BET
2 - 1
SDC
77%
14%
10%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 0
ELC
75%
14%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 0
MUR
43%
23%
34%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1942 |
GRA
2 - 1
MAL
78%
13%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
MAL
2 - 4
GRA
44%
23%
33%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
ELC
3 - 0
MAL
37%
23%
40%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
MAL
1 - 3
CAR
79%
12%
8%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
CAD
4 - 0
MAL
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |