Tercera RFEF XVII - Aragón round 11

SD Borja vs CD Cariñena analysis

SD Borja CD Cariñena
22 ELO 20
-22.4% Tilt -14.2%
10183º General ELO ranking 8444º
1033º Country ELO ranking 477º
ELO win probability
42.5%
SD Borja
24.2%
Draw
33.2%
CD Cariñena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
SD Borja
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.2%
Win probability
CD Cariñena
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

SD Borja
Their league position
CD Cariñena
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
13º
18º
17º
20
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ejea
67
67
100%
CD Cuarte
65
65
100%
CD Ebro
63
63
100%
CF Epila
59
59
100%
Caspe
59
59
100%
Almudévar
55
55
100%
Atlético Monzón
51
51
100%
Calamocha
49
49
100%
UD Fraga
48
48
100%
Huesca B
11º
47
47
10º
0%
CD Utrillas
10º
47
47
11º
0%
CDJ Tamarite
12º
43
43
12º
100%
CD Binéfar
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Fuentes
14º
34
34
14º
100%
CD Belchite 97
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Illueca
16º
27
27
16º
100%
SD Borja
17º
22
22
17º
100%
CD Cariñena
18º
20
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
SD Borja
CD Cariñena
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

SD Borja
CD Cariñena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SD Borja
SD Borja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2023
CUA
CD Cuarte
3 - 0
SD Borja
SDB
70%
18%
12%
22 33 11 0
05 Nov. 2023
SDB
SD Borja
0 - 1
CD Binéfar
BIN
23%
23%
54%
22 28 6 0
29 Oct. 2023
SDB
SD Borja
1 - 2
Huesca B
HUE
15%
21%
64%
22 36 14 0
21 Oct. 2023
CAL
Calamocha
2 - 0
SD Borja
SDB
67%
20%
13%
23 33 10 -1
14 Oct. 2023
SDB
SD Borja
0 - 0
CF Epila
EPI
34%
25%
40%
23 25 2 0

Matches

CD Cariñena
CD Cariñena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2023
CDC
CD Cariñena
2 - 3
Calamocha
CAL
23%
24%
52%
20 33 13 0
05 Nov. 2023
EPI
CF Epila
3 - 1
CD Cariñena
CDC
62%
21%
17%
21 28 7 -1
29 Oct. 2023
CDC
CD Cariñena
0 - 1
Caspe
CAS
23%
23%
54%
21 33 12 0
22 Oct. 2023
BEL
CD Belchite 97
2 - 1
CD Cariñena
CDC
56%
22%
22%
21 26 5 0
14 Oct. 2023
CDC
CD Cariñena
0 - 5
UD Fraga
FRA
31%
23%
47%
22 27 5 -1