SD Becerrea vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1083%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Becerrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BEC
0 - 0
COR
73%
16%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BEC
0 - 1
ANT
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 2
BEC
30%
23%
48%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BEC
2 - 0
SDO
63%
18%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 3
BEC
24%
22%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
COR
0 - 5
SLU
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SLU
0 - 1
PAR
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ANT
2 - 1
SLU
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SLU
1 - 0
MIL
40%
24%
37%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SDO
3 - 0
SLU
30%
23%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |