SD Becerrea vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Becerrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 4
BEC
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BEC
1 - 2
PAL
54%
20%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
OUR
4 - 2
BEC
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GAR
0 - 3
BEC
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BEC
4 - 2
RUB
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SLU
1 - 3
GAR
51%
22%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RUB
1 - 1
SLU
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SOB
0 - 2
SLU
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
COR
1 - 3
SLU
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SLU
0 - 1
FER
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |