Atl. Nacional vs San Francisco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAP
0 - 2
NAC
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
IDC
2 - 3
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
UFC
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
HFC
75%
15%
9%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
AFM
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Francisco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SFF
3 - 1
UFC
43%
24%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
OES
1 - 1
SFF
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SFF
1 - 1
IDC
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SFF
7 - 0
ACH
84%
10%
6%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HFC
2 - 5
SFF
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |