Arenas de Zaragoza vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.9%
9.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
EXT
7 - 0
AZA
79%
12%
9%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
AZA
2 - 2
AMI
69%
16%
15%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
DBN
6 - 2
AZA
48%
21%
31%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
AZA
9 - 4
GUA
60%
19%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
CDS
6 - 5
AZA
52%
21%
27%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
RAY
0 - 4
CDT
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ATC
2 - 1
RAY
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
RAY
4 - 3
ARA
80%
13%
8%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
UDG
2 - 1
RAY
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
RAY
2 - 1
PUE
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |