Alsasua vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alsasua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
ARN
0 - 1
SDA
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
SDA
2 - 1
BER
52%
26%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
ADN
1 - 0
SDA
37%
27%
36%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
SDA
0 - 0
TER
40%
28%
32%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
FRA
1 - 1
SDA
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
CDC
0 - 0
IZA
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CLH
7 - 2
CDC
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
CDC
1 - 3
OSA
29%
27%
45%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
PEÑ
3 - 4
CDC
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
CDC
2 - 0
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |