Schwaz vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
16º
12º
17
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 72 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 66 |
2º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 53 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 46 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 40 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
44% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 34 |
11º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 25 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 21 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 19 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 79% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
IMS
4 - 0
SCH
79%
13%
8%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
PIN
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
0 - 3
STJ
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 3
SCH
21%
23%
57%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 2
REI
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 3
DOR
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 0
KIT
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 2
ROT
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
KIT
0 - 1
PIN
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KIT
2 - 3
WAL
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |