Schwaz vs Grödig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 1
AXG
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
SWB
3 - 0
SCH
88%
9%
3%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 1
FCW
23%
23%
53%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
SEE
3 - 1
SCH
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
STJ
2 - 1
SCH
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
STJ
1 - 3
GRO
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
ANI
0 - 1
GRO
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
6 - 0
SCR
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 2
WAT
54%
22%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 1
GRO
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |