Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
6º
17º
6º
52
3º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TEU
2 - 1
SWE
23%
20%
57%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 4
SWE
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KFC
4 - 1
SWE
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 4
SWE
12%
16%
72%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 6
SCH
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
VFB
2 - 1
SCH
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 0
VFB
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VFB
3 - 2
MFC
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 2
DJK
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 0
VFB
35%
22%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |