Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
55.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
DUS
1 - 0
SWE
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 1
HIL
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 1
SWE
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SWE
4 - 1
1FC
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MEE
3 - 5
SWE
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 2
MEE
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
JDH
3 - 4
VEL
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
KLE
0 - 2
VEL
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VEL
7 - 1
FSV
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DUS
1 - 3
VEL
18%
20%
62%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |