Oberliga Niederrhein Round 33

Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Schonnebeck analysis

Schwarz-Weiss Essen Schonnebeck
64 ELO 66
11.6% Tilt 1.5%
3140º General ELO ranking 2565º
135º Country ELO ranking 113º
ELO win probability
32.7%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
24%
Draw
43.4%
Schonnebeck

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.4%
Win probability
Schonnebeck
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
+5%
-9%
Schonnebeck

Points and table prediction

Schwarz-Weiss Essen
Their league position
Schonnebeck
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
12º
72
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Velbert
74
74
100%
Schonnebeck
72
72
100%
SC St. Tönis
70
70
100%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
69
69
100%
Homberg
62
62
100%
Hilden
60
60
100%
FC Büderich
53
53
100%
Sonsbeck
45
45
100%
Germania Ratingen
44
44
100%
Meerbusch
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Biemenhorst
11º
42
42
11º
100%
1.FC Monheim
12º
38
38
12º
100%
Kleve
13º
37
37
13º
100%
SF Baumberg
14º
35
35
14º
100%
SC Union Nettetal
15º
30
30
15º
100%
SF Niederwenigern
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Mülheimer FC 97
17º
27
27
17º
100%
TVD Velbert
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
Schonnebeck
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Schwarz-Weiss Essen
Schonnebeck
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Schwarz-Weiss Essen
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2025
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
3 - 1
1.FC Monheim
1FC
69%
18%
13%
62 51 11 0
09 May. 2025
KLE
Kleve
0 - 0
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
20%
24%
56%
61 50 11 +1
04 May. 2025
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
3 - 2
SC St. Tönis
TEU
41%
25%
34%
60 61 1 +1
25 Apr. 2025
GRA
Germania Ratingen
1 - 2
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
24%
25%
51%
59 50 9 +1
17 Apr. 2025
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
3 - 2
Meerbusch
MEE
64%
20%
16%
58 49 9 +1

Matches

Schonnebeck
Schonnebeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2025
SFB
SF Baumberg
1 - 1
Schonnebeck
SCH
13%
19%
68%
67 50 17 0
09 May. 2025
SCH
Schonnebeck
4 - 0
1.FC Monheim
1FC
79%
14%
8%
66 51 15 +1
04 May. 2025
NET
SC Union Nettetal
2 - 3
Schonnebeck
SCH
8%
16%
76%
64 43 21 +2
26 Apr. 2025
SCH
Schonnebeck
2 - 2
Kleve
KLE
81%
13%
7%
64 49 15 0
17 Apr. 2025
SFN
SF Niederwenigern
1 - 1
Schonnebeck
SCH
11%
17%
72%
63 45 18 +1