Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Cronenberger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
5 - 0
SWE
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
TUS
1 - 4
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 1
SWE
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
SWE
1 - 6
ROT
12%
20%
68%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SWE
3 - 2
ASC
37%
25%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 0
SSN
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
CRO
1 - 1
MSV
28%
23%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CRO
3 - 3
FSV
50%
22%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
SFN
5 - 1
CRO
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CRO
0 - 0
NET
51%
21%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |