Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 0
GEW
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
KFC
1 - 3
SWE
34%
27%
40%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 0
BER
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
BSC
0 - 1
SWE
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
SWE
2 - 1
BOR
25%
26%
50%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 1
KFC
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BER
2 - 1
BAY
11%
18%
72%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
BAY
3 - 0
BSC
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
BOR
1 - 3
BAY
44%
23%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
BAY
3 - 2
SPE
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |