SW Bregenz vs FC Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 2
SWB
32%
23%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ANI
2 - 2
SWB
24%
22%
54%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 7
SWB
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SWB
3 - 1
STJ
83%
12%
6%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
SCR
3 - 2
SWB
15%
19%
66%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
GKN
0 - 2
LUS
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
LUS
2 - 2
WAC
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
HAR
1 - 2
LUS
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
LUS
1 - 1
GRO
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
AWM
1 - 1
LUS
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |