SW Bregenz vs FAC Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
15º
14º
6
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
12º
|
0 | 55 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 55 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 54 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 51 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 50 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 49 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 43 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 37 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 35 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 35 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 32 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 30 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 27 |
16º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
42% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
SKN
4 - 2
SWB
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SWB
1 - 1
RAP
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
VOC
0 - 2
SWB
10%
16%
75%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
SWB
3 - 2
HOH
49%
22%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
SWB
1 - 4
MAI
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FAC Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
FAC
2 - 0
KAP
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
HER
0 - 3
FAC
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2025 |
GRA
0 - 1
FAC
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
PAM
1 - 2
FAC
3%
9%
88%
|
76 | 22 | 54 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
DON
0 - 4
FAC
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |