Oberliga Bayern South Round 14

TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Kottern analysis

TSV Schwaben Augsburg Kottern
41 ELO 35
-3.2% Tilt -2.7%
3850º General ELO ranking 5035º
169º Country ELO ranking 245º
ELO win probability
61.2%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
19.9%
Draw
18.8%
Kottern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.8%
Win probability
Kottern
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
-19%
-24%
Kottern

Points and table prediction

TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Their league position
Kottern
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
11º
47
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Erlbach
69
69
100%
Heimstetten
68
68
100%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
67
67
100%
Landsberg
66
66
100%
FC Deisenhofen
63
63
100%
TSV Nördlingen
58
58
100%
1860 München II
55
55
100%
FC Pipinsried
47
47
0%
Kottern
47
47
0%
Sonthofen
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Rain / Lech
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Kirchanschöring
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Ismaning
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Dachau
14º
41
41
14º
100%
FC Gundelfingen
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Türkspor Augsburg
16º
29
29
16º
100%
VfR Garching
17º
22
22
17º
100%
Kirchheimer SC
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Kottern
Mid-table
0% 100%
Promotion
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Kottern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TSV Schwaben Augsburg
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2023
186
1860 München II
2 - 1
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
TSA
24%
23%
53%
43 34 9 0
23 Sep. 2023
TSA
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1 - 0
FC Deisenhofen
DEI
62%
21%
17%
44 37 7 -1
20 Sep. 2023
TSA
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
3 - 2
Landsberg
LAN
44%
25%
32%
42 43 1 +2
15 Sep. 2023
KSC
Kirchheimer SC
1 - 4
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
TSA
9%
16%
75%
41 18 23 +1
10 Sep. 2023
TSA
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1 - 0
TSV Nördlingen
TSV
63%
19%
18%
41 34 7 0

Matches

Kottern
Kottern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2023
KOT
Kottern
0 - 1
FC Pipinsried
FCP
48%
22%
30%
37 35 2 0
22 Sep. 2023
186
1860 München II
2 - 1
Kottern
KOT
33%
24%
44%
39 35 4 -2
16 Sep. 2023
KOT
Kottern
1 - 1
Heimstetten
HEI
42%
23%
36%
38 40 2 +1
09 Sep. 2023
DEI
FC Deisenhofen
3 - 0
Kottern
KOT
24%
22%
54%
40 31 9 -2
02 Sep. 2023
KOT
Kottern
1 - 0
Ismaning
ISM
71%
17%
12%
39 29 10 +1