Oberliga Bayern Sud Jor. 5

TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Kottern analysis

TSV Schwaben Augsburg Kottern
27 ELO 25
-10.3% Tilt 0.1%
5159º General ELO ranking 7086º
173º Country ELO ranking 278º
ELO win probability
58.8%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
21.5%
Draw
19.7%
Kottern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.7%
Win probability
Kottern
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
-10%
-29%
Kottern

Points and table prediction

TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Their league position
Kottern
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
13º
60
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Schalding-Heining
73
73
100%
Memmingen
63
63
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
60
60
0%
Landsberg
60
60
100%
Kottern
60
60
0%
Kirchanschöring
58
58
100%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
54
54
100%
1860 München II
53
53
100%
FC Gundelfingen
50
50
100%
Ismaning
10º
50
50
10º
100%
TSV Nördlingen
11º
46
46
11º
100%
FC Deisenhofen
12º
44
44
12º
100%
SV Erlbach
13º
42
42
13º
100%
Dachau
14º
40
40
14º
100%
VfR Garching
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Türkspor Augsburg
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Rosenheim
17º
21
21
17º
100%
VfB Hallbergmoos
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Kottern
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Kottern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TSV Schwaben Augsburg
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2022
FCG
FC Gundelfingen
3 - 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
TSA
33%
24%
43%
30 26 4 0
23 Jul. 2022
TSA
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
3 - 3
Memmingen
MEM
41%
24%
35%
30 32 2 0
19 Jul. 2022
VFB
VfB Hallbergmoos
1 - 3
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
TSA
28%
23%
49%
29 23 6 +1
16 Jul. 2022
TSA
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
2 - 1
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
27%
23%
50%
27 34 7 +2
28 Jun. 2022
AUG
FC Augsburg
5 - 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
TSA
90%
9%
2%
27 77 50 0

Matches

Kottern
Kottern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2022
KOT
Kottern
1 - 3
Landsberg
LAN
51%
22%
26%
25 24 1 0
22 Jul. 2022
ROS
Rosenheim
1 - 3
Kottern
KOT
59%
21%
20%
24 28 4 +1
19 Jul. 2022
FCG
FC Gundelfingen
3 - 1
Kottern
KOT
43%
25%
33%
25 24 1 -1
15 Jul. 2022
KOT
Kottern
1 - 2
Memmingen
MEM
34%
24%
43%
25 31 6 0
09 Jul. 2022
KOT
Kottern
0 - 2
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
20%
23%
57%
26 42 16 -1
X