Schengen vs US Hostert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
75.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schengen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
JEU
1 - 4
SCH
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SCH
4 - 2
LUN
84%
10%
6%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RSM
2 - 4
SCH
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 4
KEH
31%
22%
47%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UKT
2 - 4
SCH
47%
20%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
F91
3 - 0
USH
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
BET
2 - 4
USH
46%
24%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 4
USH
37%
25%
39%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
USH
0 - 0
JEU
29%
25%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UNA
2 - 1
USH
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |