Regionalliga Occidente round 12

Schalke 04 II vs Mainz 05 II analysis

Schalke 04 II Mainz 05 II
47 ELO 49
-7.6% Tilt 8.7%
3997º General ELO ranking 3537º
162º Country ELO ranking 136º
ELO win probability
42.9%
Schalke 04 II
25.9%
Draw
31.2%
Mainz 05 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
Schalke 04 II
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.2%
Win probability
Mainz 05 II
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Schalke 04 II
+17%
-17%
Mainz 05 II

ELO progression

Schalke 04 II
Mainz 05 II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Schalke 04 II
Schalke 04 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2010
BOR
B. Dortmund II
2 - 0
Schalke 04 II
S04
56%
24%
20%
49 56 7 0
17 Oct. 2010
S04
Schalke 04 II
1 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld II
ABI
58%
23%
19%
49 42 7 0
01 Oct. 2010
EIN
Eintracht Trier
1 - 0
Schalke 04 II
S04
30%
25%
45%
50 43 7 -1
25 Sep. 2010
S04
Schalke 04 II
1 - 1
Preußen Münster
PRE
41%
28%
31%
50 52 2 0
21 Sep. 2010
WUP
Wuppertaler SV
2 - 4
Schalke 04 II
S04
57%
22%
21%
48 53 5 +2

Matches

Mainz 05 II
Mainz 05 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2010
MAI
Mainz 05 II
3 - 1
Sportfreunde Lotte
SPO
33%
27%
40%
47 54 7 0
17 Oct. 2010
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 5
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
FOR
61%
22%
17%
48 40 8 -1
01 Oct. 2010
BOR
B. Dortmund II
3 - 2
Mainz 05 II
MAI
55%
25%
21%
49 54 5 -1
26 Sep. 2010
MAI
Mainz 05 II
3 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld II
ABI
53%
24%
23%
48 44 4 +1
22 Sep. 2010
EIN
Eintracht Trier
2 - 2
Mainz 05 II
MAI
38%
26%
36%
48 43 5 0