Progresso vs Sammaurese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
PRO
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 2
MEZ
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ACA
4 - 2
PRO
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
COR
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
PRO
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
GHI
1 - 1
SAM
46%
25%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 0
SAM
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
COR
2 - 3
SAM
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 2
FIO
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SER
3 - 1
SAM
36%
26%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |