Progresso vs Sammaurese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
5 - 0
PRO
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
BRE
42%
22%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PSM
0 - 1
PRO
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 0
SAV
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 0
PRO
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 2
COR
24%
23%
54%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CRE
1 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 2
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
SAM
88%
9%
3%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 0
MEZ
29%
26%
45%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |